Speculation Spin

30 11 2011

 

I couldn’t be more excited about finally discussing NBA topics unrelated to David Stern or the BRI.

 

Even though free agency hasn’t officially begun, rumors are already spreading across the country about many players. What I’m going to do is assume some of these rumored movements end up happening, and I will speculate on the consequences.

 

Dwight Howard is traded to the Nets for Brook Lopez and future draft picks. Because of the insertion of Superman into the future Brooklyn Nets, Deron Williams will sign a long-term contract with the team and share the face of the franchise with the three-time defensive player of the year. Also, since the Clippers were unable to persuade Howard to come to Los Angeles, Blake Griffin will do as most star Clipper players do and decide to move to another team.

Dwight Howard is the big catch for the 2012 free agent class. Will the Magic deal him before that time comes?

•By means of a three-way trade between the Pacers, Celtics, and Hornets, the Pacers pick up Chris Paul. Danny Granger will be able to pass some of the offensive load to Paul, thus opening up his game and increasing his shooting percentage to a more consistent average. Georgetown-great Roy Hibbert will finally be able to live up to his potential since Paul will put Hibbert in positions to be successful on the offensive end of the court – something Paul has made a habit of doing with his big men.

Kyle Singler stays in Spain and plays Euro ball. This will be best for Singler’s style of play and will also help him mature as a passer. The Pistons, who signed Singler with the 33rd pick in the 2011 draft, will continue to struggle through this veteran-to-youth transition time, and the city of Detroit will stick with the Pistons as their third most important team behind the Lions and Tigers.

•The New York Knicks have no choice but to stand pat. Because of the Celtics’ and Nets’ offseason activity, the Heat’s improved chemistry, and Chicago’s continued development, ‘Melo and Stoudemire will become frustrated with the direction their team is going and will also get frustrated with the fact that their isolation-type offensive games clash with one another. Chauncey Billups’s better Piston days will clearly be behind him, and he won’t have the athleticism to keep up with Mike D’Antoni’s up-tempo offensive style. Looking ahead to 2014, Anthony will once again be searching for another superstar to pair up with, leaving the Knicks with another project to work on.

•2011 NBA Champion Tyson Chandler will be wearing the green and white in Boston, and he will be making the big bucks. I don’t know how Danny Ainge will find the money to pay him with his already heavy pay roll, but he will find a way to make up for the mistake he made last season when Perkins was shipped off to Oklahoma City for Jeff Green and Nate Robinson. Similar to his championship run with Dallas, Chandler won’t fill up the stat sheets, but he will provide a defensive presence similar to Kevin Garnett’s but with more youth and length. This will keep the Celtics towards the top of their conference, and with the shortened season, the C’s will be in a prime position to give anyone in the Eastern Conference a run for their money.

•With the departure of Tyson Chandler, Mark Cuban won’t be shaken, and he will pick up Nene Hilario, who has made it blatantly clear he feels disrespected in Denver and wants out. The positive thing about this move is that it will provide a dependable source of offense for a Mavs team that will need to make up for what Chandler and (most likely) Butler supplied for the team. However, the defensive tenacity Chandler spread among his teammates will be lost through this transition, and the team will tend to play a more offensive-minded game. Since Dwight Howard locked up Deron Williams in the Atlantic Division, Cuban will constantly be on the lookout for a young point guard to help slowly but surely move the Mavs out of the Kidd-era in the Big D.

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4 responses

12 12 2011
Paul and the Clips « jay's jems

[…] the fans. It will being pretty scary to watch for the rest of the league. As I said in a recent post, CP3 always finds a way to make his big man play better. Well, that can, in all honesty, be taken a […]

30 11 2011
Jesse Vo

I’m gonna have to disagree with you on like all of these, except for the Knicks being screwed and maybe the Dwight Howard one.

There isn’t much to go with on Dwight Howard rumors, but I feel like the Magic could get a better deal than baby-soft Brook Lopez and a couple of mid-first rounders. I’d even take the Lakers’ offer of Andrew Bynum, expiring contracts, and late first rounders over the Nets’ offer. I wouldn’t be surprised if a team pulls an ’11 Nets and trades for Dwight without him signing a contract extension either.

I don’t see anyway Chris Paul ends up on the Pacers. There’s no way he signs an extension with the forever mediocre Pacers, especially with the talent that Indiana would have to give up (Definitely George and Collison, probably Hansbrough). I think the Clippers have the best chance of getting Paul. They’ve got the young talent, the expiring contracts, Minnesota’s probably top 5 pick, and a willingness from Paul to sign an extension there. Now if only the Clippers’ had an owner who wasn’t racist and was willing to sign a paycheck…

Regardless, I think both teams will hold on to their stars for as long as they can. They’ll learn from the Jazz and get the best deal possible instead of being bullied around by their star like the Nuggets. Both Howard and Paul seem less adamant about leaving their teams than Melo did as well.

Kyle Singler’s irrelevant. I don’t think he’ll make any sort of major impact on an NBA team ever.

The Knicks are screwed, yes. Melo and Amar’e don’t play defense and don’t add much to an offense other than isolation scoring. They have no assets to trade for CP3/Dwight/D-Will, and they won’t have a whole lot of cap room either if any of those three make it to free agency. They’d all have to be willing to take a pretty hefty pay cut for sure to sign with the Knicks. Around 50 million, I think. Everyone knows what the Knicks want to do, but I have no idea what the Knicks actually can do with their roster situation. I guess we”ll just have to wait and see.

I think Tyson Chandler returns to the Mavs. He says he thinks he’ll go to a new team, but there’s honestly not a huge market for him. All of the teams that want him are over the cap and wouldn’t be able to offer him as much money as the Mavs since they have his Bird Rights. Plus, there’s some worries around the league about his injuries and age. The Mavs are just as winning of a team as the Celtics, are younger (Maybe “less old” would be a better term), and are willing and able to pay him more money. If I’m Mark Cuban, I use the amnesty clause on Brendan Haywood’s terrible contract, resign Chandler, and pick up some random stiff like Joel Przybilla to back TC up.

No idea where Nene ends up. He wants to go to a contender, but they’re all capped out. The Warriors seem like a good fit. Maybe a sneaky play from the Spurs? They love that stuff.

Great article, Jay. Sports journalism’s one of my passions/hobbies and I think it’d be great if we could do a collab article or something.

30 11 2011
jaysjems1141

Love the feedback Jesse. The only thing I want to mention is that this post wasn’t so much to say these things will happen, but more so to simply speculate on what effects these moves would have on the NBA.

6 12 2011
David Leibewitz

Yeah, thanks for the feedback Jesse. My bet is on Chandler as well.

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